Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 8 Aug 2023. Before it settled, the high was 17.5% on 15 Aug 2023 and the low 0.5% on 13 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 9.5% on 12 Aug 2023. $97.27K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 8 Aug 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2023 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kay23 | Yes | 320 |
| WalletAgent | Yes | 247.47 |
| Pisacafe | Yes | 139.19 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in any fight before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the fight itself, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-musk-fight-zuck-in-2023
| Yes |
| 125 |
| jameswest | Yes | 124.4 |
| tnt10 | Yes | 100 |
| edweirdo | Yes | 76.66 |
| Heyitsme | Yes | 31 |
| po1arbear | Yes | 26.32 |
| turtlertl | No | 15 |
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