Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 14% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 16% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 14% on 12 Jul 2026. $331.28K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 3:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 14.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alexfire97 | Yes | 90.96K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 24.84K |
| Saucypicks | Yes | 3K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Yes | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-2026-winner-20260709213158635
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