Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Yes at 62.5%. Yes was at 25% at 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 71.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 25% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $80 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 10:52 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 25.0% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 62.5% |
5 more markets, none above 48.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mstr-hit-week-of-october-19-2026
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