What is the “Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in January 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in January 2026? Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

9 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 16, 7:58 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-msft-hit-in-january-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January?

Market referencewill-msft-dip-to-480-in-januaryUpdated Jan 16, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jan 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$14.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 2, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 16, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 2.11K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$13.3K

Yes buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+34 pts

Range

49.5% - 84.0%

Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	498	0.1%	$498
Emerald Pioneer D14A	No	394	0.1%	$394

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in January 2026?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in January 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in January 2026? Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 9 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Bright Horizon 81D6

498

0.1%

$498

Emerald Pioneer D14A

394

0.1%

$394

Trader	Current holding value
Bright Horizon 81D6	$0
Emerald Pioneer D14A	$0
Bold Scout BD7E	$0
9735	$0
Crimson Vector F03A	$0
Bright Signal 14DE	$0
Jade Harbor B075	$0
t189	$0
hesure	$0