Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 26 Dec 2025 and the low 0.2% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 0.7% on 30 Jan 2026. $12.5K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 37 points · 26 Dec 2025 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 325 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 297 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 244 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 219 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in January 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-msft-hit-in-january-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 208 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 84 |
| forcaster1 | Yes | 33.33 |
| hesure | Yes | 16 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
