Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.7% on 4 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5% on 30 Nov 2025. $4.27K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 6 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 1.13K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 860 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 333 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 198 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 180 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 160 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 155 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.95 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 106 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msft-week-december-5-2025
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