Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$240.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 9 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 9 Feb 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 85 points up, to 91.5% on 9 Feb 2026. $240.46K traded over the market's life.

81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 9 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2026	6.5%
9 Feb 2026	91.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	28.03K
Blue-General	No	5.69K
JumperChip	No	5K
450383	No	2.04K

10 of 81 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's latest video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.