Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 7% on 18 Mar 2026.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 4:49 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Mar 2026	14.5%
22 Mar 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	102.64K
Lawful-Instruction	Yes	20.58K
sunmeee	Yes	7.54K
airme	Yes	7.09K

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.