Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$193.2K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 28 Sep 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 28 Sep 2025 and the lowest 15% on 17 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 39.5% on 28 Sep 2025. $193.19K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 28 Sep 2025, chart shows 10%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Sep 2025	22.5%
28 Sep 2025	39.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	177.84K
Masilive	Yes	10K
FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile	Yes	2.37K
MobePaw

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<25m". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.