Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$144.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 28, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 86.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 86.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.9 points up, to 98.4% on 25 Feb 2026. $144.33K traded over the market's life.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 80%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Feb 2026	86.5%
28 Feb 2026	99.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	37.71K
bigE21	No	1.87K
Vlad Gabriel	No	1.62K
zhangyu1377	No	1.28K

10 of 52 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast at this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's latest video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.