Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next video?

Resolved

No, settled May 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3K

Resolved

Settled

May 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 9.5% on 2 May 2026. $1.31K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 3, 7:12 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 5%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Apr 2026	22.5%
2 May 2026	9.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Deafening-Possible	Yes	300
Dead-Conformation	Yes	117.14
TENETENET	Yes	95.03
triklozoid	Yes	50

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.