Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 41% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 41% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 24% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 26% on 21 Aug 2026. $766.74 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 5xroot | Yes | 54.99 |
| Swift Raven 42CE | Yes | 50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| ahlook | Yes | 16.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-20260822
| berikela | Yes | 12.5 |
| SEMKI19 | Yes | 11.9 |
| Infinite-Gazebo-Culvert | Yes | 8.74 |
| hit-man2 | Yes | 6.9 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.6 |
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