Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 38% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 2 Sep 2026 and the low 0.3% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 0.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $951.78 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 2 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 38.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| rette33 | Yes | 102.64 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| gogogo-v3 | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-september-30-2026
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