Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by September 30?

cultureResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$635

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 36% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 42.4% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 42.4% on 26 Sep 2026. $634.92 traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	150
a5533	Yes	54.08
TENETENET	Yes	10
gogogo-v3	Yes	5

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.