Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $565.08 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| ivybaby01 | Yes | 50 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-august-31-20260730200401395
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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