Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.3%. Yes opened at 52% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 88.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.7% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 36.5% on 26 Aug 2026. $1.47K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 52.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 4.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PicklePredictor | Yes | 135 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 92.05 |
| Easy-Going-Wafer | Yes | 29.99 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 19.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-august-31-20260730200401395
| Lunar Raven 18A5 | Yes | 15.03 |
| S56 | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| JewRizzler | Yes | 5 |
| 1k-100k | No | 0.02 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 0.01 |
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