Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 35% on 26 Jun 2026. $5.55K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sasfafsaget32 | Yes | 1.48K |
| Rapid Vector 4D23 | Yes | 807.58 |
| CosmicMolten | Yes | 155.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-july-31-20260623145857879
| Yes |
| 150 |
| matandomoscas | Yes | 144.59 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 23.74 |
| PITON2026 | Yes | 20 |
| Amber Pulse 7C1D | Yes | 18.8 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
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