Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 5 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Dec 2025. $53.85K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yummy4 | Yes | 9.28K |
| Linear-Permafrost | Yes | 771.9 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 360 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-x-million-subscribers-by-december-31
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 236 |
| 25oodksmsss09 | Yes | 191.45 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 169 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 156 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 112 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 75 |
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