Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 47% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 6 Sep 2026 and the low 4% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 6.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $392.18 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 2 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 47.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mironski | Yes | 74.53 |
| a5533 | Yes | 59.82 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet | Yes | 43.76 |
| VERIZON1 | Yes | 15 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| antoo111 | Yes | 2.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views-by-september-30-2026
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