Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 1.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $14.84K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 41.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stark-Problem | Yes | 1.67K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 518 |
| xubo | Yes | 371.87 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 244 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views-by-january-31
| Well-Made-Wriggler | Yes | 224.35 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 115 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 78 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 74 |
| Slight-Ambiguity | Yes | 67.65 |
| hesure | Yes | 12 |
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