Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 42% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Apr 2026. $9.71K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 42.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Tenet | Yes | 226.89 |
| Hungry-Timber | Yes | 200 |
| Pinkish | Yes | 167.33 |
| SatoshiNakhamoto | Yes | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views-by-april-30
| Trusting-Citizen-Eternity | Yes | 108.37 |
| Squeaky-Brochure | Yes | 100 |
| alexuhu | Yes | 100 |
| Disguised-Component | Yes | 64.11 |
| Colala | Yes | 53.93 |
| AxA097 | Yes | 36 |
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