Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 27 Aug 2026, the highest close was 52% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3.1% on 27 Aug 2026. $1.34K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 28, 8:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 27 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 3.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.6 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the League Phase of the 2026–27 UEFA Conference League (scheduled to start October 15, 2026) per the rules of UEFA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the League Phase of the 2026–27 UEFA Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated in the qualifying rounds or play-off round), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker (extra time or penalty shoot-out within a qualifying tie) will not be considered separate from League Phase qualification. If the League Phase of the 2026–27 UEFA Conference League is cancelled, postponed to begin after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 36-team League Phase field has not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-conference-league-team-to-qualify-for-league-play-20260724204004991
| Yes |
| 5 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.01 |
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