Resolved No on 25 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 18 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 18 Aug 2026 to 25 Aug 2026, the highest close was 38% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 0.2% on 24 Aug 2026. $142.63 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 25 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 26.5% |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 180.16 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 52.04 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 49.99 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 18.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the highest single-day global YouTube view count for Morgan Wallen during the week of August 17 - 23, 2026. The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined. Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used. This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fg%2F11g7ntnqs5).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/morgan-wallen-highest-daily-youtube-view-count-august-17-23-20260823
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page