Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 4.5 points from 11% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2026.
Across the 31 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 11.5% on 27 Sep 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?”.
$20.52K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.74K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 177 trades, $770.48 bought Yes and $3.78K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 2B9S with 308 shares; the largest No position is KiernanMeister with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 11.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister | No | 1.15K |
| 2B9S | Yes | 308 |
| rocky42002 | Yes | 250 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying performances include but are not limited to singing and dancing. An appearance during the event where an individual does not perform as an incorporated part of the show will not alone qualify for a "Yes" resolution. "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched to music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-perform-at-the-2027-big-game-halftime-show
1 more market, none above 3.1%.
| bonalddrunk |
| No |
| 245 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 202 |
| televisionloud | Yes | 176.5 |
| browndust | Yes | 100 |
| bigdihhh888 | Yes | 100 |
| Unequaled-Goal-Eyebrows | Yes | 78.5 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 56.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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