Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?

Resolved

No, settled May 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$15.9K

Resolved

Settled

May 12, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	4.2%	4.2%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	6.0%	6.0%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	6.5%	6.5%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	8.5%	8.5%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	9.0%	9.0%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC	19.0%	19.0%
Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC	27.5%	27.5%
Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC	25.0%	25.0%
Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC	25.0%	25.0%

Topic room

Read this market in context

US Economy oddsWill the US enter a recession?

Research behind the numbers

How well Polymarket prices match outcomes

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

4.2%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

6.0%

May 10, 12:00 AM UTC

7.0%

May 9, 12:00 AM UTC

7.0%

May 8, 12:00 AM UTC

6.5%

May 7, 12:00 AM UTC

7.0%

May 6, 12:00 AM UTC

7.0%

May 5, 12:00 AM UTC

8.5%

May 4, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

May 3, 12:00 AM UTC

9.0%

May 2, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

May 1, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Apr 30, 12:00 AM UTC

19.0%

Apr 29, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Apr 28, 12:00 AM UTC

16.0%

Apr 27, 12:00 AM UTC

27.5%

Apr 26, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Apr 25, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC

25.0%

Apr 23, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Apr 22, 12:00 AM UTC

25.0%