Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 26 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 39.5% on 26 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 15 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 6% on 27 Sep 2025. $1.95K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 26 Sep 2025 – 15 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2025 | 39.5% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.53K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 427 |
| UtopianCapitalist | Yes | 250 |
| SuperQuant | Yes | 99.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 47 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 39 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 27.71 |
| rated | Yes | 25 |
| shine | No | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in September 2025 September 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-argentina-monthly
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