Will monthly inflation be between 1.7% and 1.9% in January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.3K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 11, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 11 Feb 2026, the highest close was 25.3% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 25.3% on 31 Jan 2026. $5.29K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 11 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Jan 2026	7.0%
11 Feb 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.42K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	421.69
RidelFishing	Yes	363.91
leonikaf	Yes	350.62

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in January 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on February 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If the report for January 2026 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the last figure published. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.