
Resolved No on 11 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 15% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 7% on 16 Jan 2026. $6.91K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 15 Jan 2026 – 11 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 15.0% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.42K |
| Corrupt-Creek | Yes | 552.11 |
| RidelFishing | Yes | 351.37 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 323.6 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 279.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 230.99 |
| Revy223 | Yes | 203.67 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 198.17 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 187 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 150.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in January 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on February 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If the report for January 2026 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the last figure published. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/january-inflation-argentina-monthly
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