Will monthly inflation be 3.0% or higher in October?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 13, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 2 Nov 2025. $3.1K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 8:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Nov 2025	15.5%
13 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	979.37
Indigo Signal 2966	No	739.96
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	234.97
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	175.07

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in October 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.