Analytics
Resolved No on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 8 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 8 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.5% on 10 May 2026. $7.15K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 8 May 2026 – 14 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | 20.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.07K |
| evangelionX | Yes | 398.07 |
| Germany-007 | Yes | 329.96 |
| leegunner | Yes | 238.64 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 230.97 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 209.33 |
| korda77 | Yes | 182.34 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 113.83 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Reasonable-Immigrant | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2026-first-semi-final-winner
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