Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4.2% on 5 Feb 2026. $39.76K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alekseinfo | Yes | 1.41K |
| Misty Beacon 3DCF | Yes | 775.73 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 363.46 |
| Minimorum | Yes | 167.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/winter-games-2026-countries-to-win-a-medal
| phjkll | Yes | 105.83 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 60 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 50 |
| vger7 | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
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