Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2025 to 26 Feb 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 17.5% on 22 Dec 2025. $87.3K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 18 Sep 2025 – 26 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 26 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 535 |
| daipari | Yes | 374.16 |
| romeodeanio | Yes | 360 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/champions-league-which-teams-advance-to-round-of-16
| Bright Maven 2DD6 | Yes | 317 |
| Misty Harbor DB5A | Yes | 304 |
| Bold Quasar 82DF | Yes | 285 |
| Crimson Comet 997E | Yes | 220 |
| Golden Lynx 5987 | Yes | 187 |
| Cobalt Vector 6DCC | Yes | 177 |
| Silver Signal 14B6 | Yes | 152 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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