Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 16% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 16% on 25 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 63.5% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 279.14 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-tweet-on
| PX5300 | Yes | 20 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 5.09 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| HardCoded0 | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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