Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 6% on 15 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. $15.63K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 15 Nov 2025 – 31 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | 6.0% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.96K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 3.7K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea on December 28, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Guinean government, including the Guinean Supreme Court (Cour suprême), the Guinean Constitutional Court (Cour Constitutionnelle), or the newly established Directorate General of Elections (Direction générale des élections or DGE). If these listed sources disagree, they will be prioritized in the following order: Supreme Court, Constitutional Court, Directorate General of Elections.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guinea-presidential-election
| Yes |
| 600 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Woosts | Yes | 250.96 |
| Wallacesa | Yes | 230 |
| DFarm | Yes | 56 |
| luuuur | Yes | 56 |
| tindache | Yes | 25 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
