Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 21% on 17 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 42.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $3.32K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 4:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 28 May 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 978.78 |
| e46m3 | No | 166.06 |
| Lavincey | No | 130 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ok-04-democratic-primary-winner
| philwa | No | 25.15 |
| getfee-s1 | No | 20 |
| pv34 | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| 4fee-s3 | No | 20 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 16 |
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