Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 7% on 18 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2025 to 20 Sep 2025, the highest close was 79.5% on 20 Sep 2025 and the lowest 4% on 21 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 79.5% on 20 Sep 2025. $4.48K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 18 Jul 2025 – 20 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | 7.0% |
| 20 Sep 2025 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.63K |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the number of YEA votes Mike Waltz receives, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as United States Ambassador to the United Nations. If another individual is confirmed as United States Ambassador to the United Nations for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). If Mike Waltz is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the United States Ambassador to the United Nations without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-mike-waltz-as-un-ambassador
| No |
| 1.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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