Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 68% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 18 Jan 2026 and the low 68% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 88.5% on 6 Jan 2026. $49.7K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 2 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 68.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 1.7K |
| Pale-Stimulus | No | 489.42 |
| Evador | No | 331 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 202 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 176 |
| Magnificent-Ballot | No | 134.95 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 128 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 74 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 67 |
| effing | No | 46.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the specified NFL head coach is fired or otherwise vacates their position by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Mike Kafka is serving in an interim head coach role. For the purposes of this market, this option will resolve to “Yes” if he no longer holds the head coach position by the resolution deadline, regardless of whether he remains with or later returns to the team in another capacity.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-nfl-head-coach-fired-by-february-28
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