Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 13 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 13 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25.5% on 14 Aug 2025. $138.13K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 13 Aug 2025 – 2 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2025 | 50.5% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 980 |
| RiseAndSunny | Yes | 846.21 |
| Crimson Lynx E846 | Yes | 742.43 |
What levels will Microstrategy's NAV reach by December 31?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-levels-will-microstrategys-nav-reach-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 625 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 402 |
| One2holy | Yes | 400 |
| Impartial-Crystal | Yes | 392.86 |
| cranks9696 | Yes | 334.54 |
| ElectricYam | Yes | 333.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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