
Yes is at 16%, down 30 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 26% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?”.
$6.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $251.23, with a 22.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Homely-Joint with 7 shares; the largest No position is jeev with 7.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Homely-Joint | Yes | 6.68 |
| jeev | No | 6.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on October 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-microsoft-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-october-28
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