Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 86.5% on 19 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 30 Jul 2026 and the low 67.5% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 67.5% on 20 Jul 2026. $1.27K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 8:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 19 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | 86.5% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| hesure | No | 50 |
| Jade Quasar ED0B | No | 21 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 17.52 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
| RustyScissors | No | 5 |
| TENETENET | No | 0.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microsoft-msft-q4-cloud-revenue-be-above-20260717035853186
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