Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 74% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 51.5% on 11 Dec 2025. $11.75K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 74.0% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.8K |
| Azure Meteor 1EAD | No | 233.46 |
| Remarkable-Redesign | No | 199 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina. If no 2026 North Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". This market includes any potential runoff election. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the North Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-carolina-republican-senate-primary-winner
| No |
| 165 |
| lezizierdev | No | 80.61 |
| paas2 | No | 20 |
| Utter-Downgrade | No | 15 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| Bright Ledger F5ED | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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