
Resolved No on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 34% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 60% on 24 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 1% on 2 May 2025. $11.34K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 34.0% |
| 2 May 2025 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cobalt Summit 26FA | Yes | 740 |
| Royal Signal CCC7 | Yes | 720 |
| Misty Vector 3638 | Yes | 705 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The MicroStrategy Q1 2025 earnings call is scheduled to take place on May 1st, 2025. (https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-earnings-release-date-and-live-video-webinar-for-first-quarter-2025-financial-results_04-15-2025) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Saylor says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will not count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," but killjoy is a compounding of "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-michael-saylor-say-during-strategy-q1-2025-earnings-call
| Yes |
| 635 |
| Indigo Vector 1F1B | Yes | 490 |
| Bright Ledger 7D41 | Yes | 365 |
| Neon Horizon BC95 | Yes | 280 |
| Azure Beacon A11F | Yes | 260 |
| Rapid Pulse 58C3 | Yes | 240 |
| Emerald Signal F34F | Yes | 205 |
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