Analytics
Yes is at 15.8%, down 51 points from 67% when the market opened on 11 Mar 2026.
Across the 220 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 20 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%; a month before, 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 50% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?”.
$660.1 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $126.42, with a 28.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $1.28 bought Yes and $353.81 bought No.
The largest Yes position is qqqppp-l1 with 80 shares; the largest No position is Surprised-Sitar with 200.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 220 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 67.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Surprised-Sitar | No | 199.55 |
| qqqppp-l1 | Yes | 80.42 |
| pein.rikudo | Yes | 75 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-2026-movies-will-make-it-into-the-imdb-top-250
| niglette |
| Yes |
| 34.04 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| crckr | No | 21 |
| ffsFsfq | Yes | 10 |
| 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes | 3.13 |
| 62sfds | Yes | 2.62 |
| GarethValerius | No | 2.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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