Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.2%. Yes opened at 25% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 110 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 50.2% on 15 Sep 2025 and the lowest 13.2% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 47.4% on 2 Sep 2025. $206.42 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 2:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 29 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2025 | 25.0% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 48.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 220 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
| maikaichner | Yes | 11.06 |
This is a market on predicting the pitcher who will finish the 2025 MLB regular season with the lowest earned run average (ERA).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-pitching-era-leader
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
