Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 20 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2024 to 3 Feb 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 20 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 7.3% on 21 Nov 2024. $278.56K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 1:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 20 Nov 2024 – 3 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2024 | 24.5% |
| 3 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.08K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 541.04 |
| DUFRDeyafx | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Blake is announced as the next Chair of the Democratic Party after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Chair of the Democratic Party from the Democratic Party. If no Chair of the Democratic Party is announced by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-dnc-chair
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 400 |
| 0xf71 | Yes | 143.56 |
| Neon Pulse 9587 | Yes | 64.12 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 9.92 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.97 |
| Royal Kestrel 1DAD | Yes | 0.14 |
| eieio | Yes | 0.02 |
