Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 0.4%.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 9:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| Drizzl3r | Yes | 86.83K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 30.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Wretched-Unique | Yes | 17.05K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 15.13K |
| lathut | Yes | 13K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 11.74K |
| gitignoredotsol | Yes | 9.15K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.83K |
