Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.7% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 209 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2025 to 21 Feb 2026, the highest close was 3.9% on 23 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Oct 2025. $132.76K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 29 Jul 2025 – 21 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 1.7% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 48.27K |
| 0x73618a6b2f1d | Yes | 20.18K |
| mlferker | Yes | 3.02K |
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga (soccer).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-winner-527
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 4b2470cc | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 699 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 605.3 |
| Lone-Snack-Meat | Yes | 500 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 487.16 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 476.41 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 456 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
