Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 29% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 1.9% on 27 Apr 2026. $16.09K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 1:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 29.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Survivor | Yes | 2.76K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 160 |
| Legitimate-Bagpipe | Yes | 100 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 96.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Meta’s headcount for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Meta’s official company earnings materials. including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric for the relevant quarter, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meta-headcount-above-in-q1
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| suabeo | Yes | 41.01 |
| itrusty | Yes | 25.37 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 20.3 |
| Metallic-Guide | Yes | 10 |
| Crimson Oracle 5B87 | Yes | 6.76 |
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