Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$54.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 54% on 11 Nov 2025. $53.97K traded over the market's life.

63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 9:02 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Nov 2025	82.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
shahmat	Yes	2.68K
8Eotx5qJmuUVd	Yes	900
imurvariance	Yes	499.22

10 of 63 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for Metamask is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.