Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 263 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 88.3% on 28 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 49.5% on 17 Apr 2025. $9.8K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 15 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ggcooks | Yes | 518.11 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 505 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Meta Platforms, Inc. has reached a settlement with the Federal Trade Commission over the issues outlined in the Federal Trade Commission v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Case No. 1:20-cv-03590-JEB) case by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-meta-settle-with-the-ftc
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| power1337 | Yes | 111.45 |
| Rando757473 | Yes | 109.96 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90.63 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 88.9 |
| rebrand | Yes | 81.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
